Title:	The Russian Invasion of Ukraine: Scope, Patterns and Future Development of Displacement
Other Titles:	Short Analysis
Authors:	Düvell, Franck Lapshyna, Iryna
Contributions by:	Institut für Migrationsforschung und Interkulturelle Studien
Abstract:	Already in 2014, Russia militarily intervened in Ukraine; ever since parts of the country are annexed or occupied and 1.4 million people displaced. This is part of a broader imperial project affecting several other countries, notably Georgia, Moldova and Kirgizstan but also Belarus. In February 2022, after a year of amassing its armies Russia invaded Ukraine from the north, east and south aiming at the country’s major cities, industrial heartlands and ports. The Russian army destroys residential areas as well as critical infrastructure including schools and hospitals. So far, the war affects 26 million people, the majority of the population. By 17 March, many cities have been evacuated while others are besieged; around 5 million people have been displaced, most to the EU, 3 million, and few to Russia, only around 5%, the others are internally displaced. Most of the displaced persons are women and children but also some elderly. This is the fastest and largest displacement in Europa since World War II. This paper analyses the events so far, sketches who is displaced, identifies key patterns and suggests scenarios for the direction of the invasion and according scenarios of future displacement. It assumes that 9.9 million people or in the worst case, an attack on eastern Ukraine, many more could be displaced.
Citations:	Düvell, Franck/Lapshyna, Iryna (2022): The Russian Invasion of Ukraine: Scope, Patterns and Future Development of Displacement. Short Analysis. IMIS Working Paper 14, Institut für Migrationsforschung und Interkulturelle Studien (IMIS) der Universität Osnabrück. Osnabrück: IMIS.
URL:	https://doi.org/10.48693/77 https://osnadocs.ub.uni-osnabrueck.de/handle/ds-202203196457
Subject Keywords:	Ukraine; Displacement; Russian Invasion; Russia; Ukraine; Russland; Vertreibung; russische Invasion
Issue Date:	19-Mar-2022
License name:	Attribution 3.0 Germany
License url:	http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/de/
Type of publication:	Arbeitspapier [workingPaper]
Appears in Collections:	IMIS Working Papers

This item is licensed under a Creative Commons License